Now that the Brad Richards frenzy is over, we can calmly and cooly look back at it. (I hope?)
The Sabres didn’t want to pay (or perhaps overpay depending on your opinion) the money it would’ve taken to sign Richards. They knew roughly what he would command in the market and had their backup plans.
So no Richards.
Do we really want Richards anyway? He already won a Cup so how hungry can he be for another? And he besmirched the Cup with a crustacean. Everyone knows the only food that should go in there is chicken wings.
A simple text and an innocuous one, it turned out. For those unfamiliar with the line, one of the princesses of the Pegula dynasty, Jessie Pegula, tweeted the words “so no richards”. The tweet was quickly deleted and @jlpegula said it was a butt tweet. Ok, sure. No one was buying it, but she did her best to cover for what could potentially have interfered with signing the biggest name free agent in this year’s market.
I for one thought it was cute and wouldn’t have really changed anything. She had inside information yet the deal wasn’t going through at that point.
But was the deal for Richards really ever going to go through at all? After the smoke cleared, another report came out that Pegula and Regier didn’t go up to Mississauga to visit Richards and his agent after all.
“We had plans to go up to Mississauga to meet with him,” Regier said. “As the day progressed and even with the number of clubs that were in line to speak with Newport Sports, we really got into a time pressure situation where we had to make a decision. We felt very strongly about Ville, and we felt that it was important to make sure we didn’t allow a quality player like him to slip by us.
It doesn’t sound like the Sabres really wanted Richards that badly after all. Actually sounds like they wanted Ville Leino more and they went for it.
Richards also risked taking the Cup for a ride on a jet ski. Well, actually that's pretty cool. After all, it had a life jacket on.
There are a couple things I take away from this.
One is that Richards is 31 and has concussion history. Richards had success in Tampa Bay, even winning a cup but that was with a stacked team. In the last 4 years with the Dallas Stars, his team has made the playoffs only one time, although they did make it to the 3rd round that year. Richards is called a “point a game” guy, but look at his plus-minus (click to embiggen):
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Only during one year, Tampa Bay’s Cup victory, did Richards post better than a +3. Darcy’s mamma didn’t raise no dummy. He knew the Sabres could spend their money much more effectively.
The other takeaway is this: the Sabres aren’t going to be completely honest with the public. Even in this amazing new Pegula era, we can’t expect complete transparency and honesty. They have to play games with other teams. Disinformation, confusion, misdirection… it’s the art of war and every other team is the Sabres enemy. If we can use tactics to get other teams to pay more for free agents, we’ll do it.
So the Sabres probably weren’t really even in the Richards race to begin with. Even if they were, Richards could join the growing line of expensive Rangers free agents that just haven’t panned out. He may even look a bit like (dare I say his name) Timmeh.
So no Richards?
Nope, and that’s just fine.
Things are quiet. Too quiet.
The dust has settled after the UFA storm, and the pace of news out of the HSBC Arena has slowed to a near halt. Aside from the signings of Colin Stuart, Derek Whitmore, and Drew McIntyre for the Rochester Americans, there isn’t much buzz goin’ on right now.
But there are things going on.
- The Sabres still have to squeeze Marc-Andre Gragnani and Jhonas Enroth into contracts and stay at least no more than 10% over the cap.
- Shaone Morrisonn wants out of town, so Regier has to find some NHL team willing to take on his contract and the horse it rode in on.
- Our beloved Mike Grier is still an UFA, still unretired.
- The Associate Coaching void left by the departure of Brian McCutcheon has yet to be filled.
- Joel Armia is not in the Sabres development camp, an unfortunate victim of the Finnish mandate that players have a month off to bask along the shores of their 187,888 lakes and heal up.
Fans are bored. They are so bored, that at least one blogger over at “Hockeybuzz,” a website dedicated to rumor mongering and hearsay, has therein said that the signing of McIntyre could – gulp – signal a trade of Jhonas Enroth in a package for a #1 center. Stupid as that is, it at least has given fans something to argue about on message boards.
Oh and trust me, folks, Enroth isn’t going anywhere. When Miller succumbed to injury/fatigue last season, it was Enroth that carried this team into the playoffs. McIntyre is a good goalie, but Enroth is NHL proven, and more importantly, is stalwart in a crisis. If Miller is injured again this season, not having Enroth would likely mean not having a part in the playoffs. He’s too big a piece of the puzzle, folks.
Anyone remember when fans were so taken aback by Enroth’s play, that we stormed the team Twitter account to force the Sabres to honor him in song?
They “called him Jhonas” at the HSBC. That’s the kind of stuff we miss talking about.
Well, we can always talk about that nagging “we have way too many defensemen and defensive prospects and not enough centers” issue.
Fans are still clamoring for a trade for Paul Stastny, or Evgeni Malkin, to fill that #1 center need. The problem is, our money is already spent. It’s likely that the Sabres are all but done adding names to the 2011-12 roster, unless a serious shake-up trade happens that helps to dump salary.
Roy-Leino-Gerbe/Adam-Gaustad are our likely starting centers for October 7, but there are a couple names that still could be added that would improve the team down the middle, and they’d come on the cheap: Brendan Morrison, and John Madden.
Madden is 38. Morrison is 35. Both centers are 5-11, so they wouldn’t add anything to that glaring need for size down the middle, but both skate very tall on heart. Both would bring a heavy dose of leadership and mojo to the lineup. And perhaps most importantly, they’d come on the cheap. How much gas do they have left in the tank? I can’t tell you that, but I can say it’s worth at least kicking the tires on these guys.
Rob Neidermayer has signed on with some team in Switzerland. Grier is likely done. Adam and Gerbe (and all the other center/wing hybrids) would use more time either developing or staying put on the wing. Heck, even Leino could use some time on the wing, and a Madden/Morrison addition could give Lindy Ruff the leverage to use Leino where he fits best.
This, of course, is all just speculation, “Hockey Buzz” style.
But at least my style makes some sense.
For now, download some Jimmy Buffett and head on over to the beach and enjoy the waves. I’ll let you know when the silence is broken.
Lately, Darcy Regier has become a real hustler with Terry Pegula’s bank roll.
His first test as a GM without financial shackles was to see what he could simply go out and buy.
He flexed some of his classic GM muscle when he stole Robyn Regehr (and a 2nd round pick) from the Calgary Flames. Then the spending began.
He traded for the rights to Christian Ehrhoff, and then signed him to a stay in Hockey Heaven by draining a Swiss bank or two by including a signing bonus of 8 million dollars (and a further “signing” bonus of $5 million for the 2012-13 season).
Then, he pried Ville Leino out of contention for the Stanley Cup with the Flyers by overpaying the once-center-turned-winger-turned-center-again $4.5 million per year until the 2016-17 season. That’s a nice reward for a NHLer with a career goal scoring history of 5, 4, 2, and 19. (The wager is that the 19 is the real measure, and he’ll only get better from there. Fair enough – he does have 28 points in 37 playoff games.)
Now, the Pegula Bucks are far from spent, but Darcy has hit the wall known as the NHL salary cap (circa 2004).
Now, don’t get me wrong. I love living in Hockey Heaven, and I know, and have written about, every aspect about it that I hold dear to my hockey heart. But one can’t help but look at these contracts and note that money played a major role in getting two of the aforementioned three here. Perhaps, it was the sole reason.
Pegula and Black are still creating this thing, folks. It is going to take time to convince the NHL world that this Heaven ain’t no hustle – that Heaven is under our feet here in Buffalo (on the ice) as well as over our heads. One look at those silly-rich signing bonuses for Ehrhoff tells us that no one is buying in – yet.
Cashing in? Yes.
With a couple stray RFA’s yet to sign in Marc-Andre Gragnani and Jhonas Enroth, Darcy is already up against the wall. Bank NHL won’t accept any more checks from Hockey Heaven, (so long as the final account is doesn’t go 10% over the cap limit). Fitting these guys in, lawfully and reasonably, is test #2.
From there, it’s all about finishing the job. He has all the tools a GM needs to build a champion, and many would say the Sabres are likely one piece away from that – test #3.
One very, very, elusive piece.
A bona fide #1 center – or at least, a true upgrade or two that make the Sabres a true, dominant contender.
Pegula did his research, and told us during his first presser that Regier was his man for the job. And boy, what a job it is. Swinging trades and negotiating with agents is one thing, but Regier has to do that with 40 years of broken promises and roster hoaxes on his back. Don’t try and argue that we were close in the 70’s, or the 90’s, or even in that magical 2005-07 run.
This is the first time that the Buffalo Sabres are legitimately a big-market team in a small-market city.
Pegula’s working hard to convince the world that this is where Cups will be won, as is Ted Black. But, in the end, it’s up to Regier to fulfill the promises of Hockey Heaven, and to sign players on the heart-tuggin’, ink-heavy bottom line.
From there, Lindy can enjoy putting the whole shebang together into a Nickel City Championship.
It’s never been done before (apologies, of course, to the AFL, and our beloved Bandits).
If you ever really wanted to know how good a GM Regier really is, well, we’re all about to find out. He’s up against one of the most opportune and yet greatest challenges in Buffalo Sports history.
He’s passed every test, so far.
Now, the real work begins. We’ve been fleeced before. This time, it’s gotta’ be different right? ‘Cuz we’re done with this. Period.
Go get ’em, Darcy.
What is this salary cap thing, again?
This isn’t a problem that Sabres have had to deal with before. We were all a little giddy when Darcy Regier blew his first official wad of Pegula Bucks when he traded for Brad Boyes at the trade deadline this year, and eagerly awaited July 1st like a new hockey X-mas.
July 1st has come and gone, and goodness, those Pegula Bucks must have really been burning a hole in Regier’s wallet. Suddenly, we’re at the top of the league in salary.
Count me as not one of those in town that are labeling Boyes as a bust – yet. He did have 14 points in 21 games as the new kid, though his 1 goal on 14 shots in the playoffs really left him wanting, say, about 13 more goals there.
Remember, folks, that Boyes also plays his best when on the wing. He kept finding himself forced into the center position by Lindy Ruff, whose bench was already overflowing with wingers. Boyes is simply not effective pivoting around the offensive zone, and racing back to cover the slot in front of Miller. He’s a sniper, and his best shots come off the wing.
But then again, we now have to do math problems, and Brad Boyes salary hit stinks like long division. Boyes accounts for a cool $4mil of the monstrous $63,945,357. That is roughly 6.25%, according to my accounts payable research study. It’s a big hit, but if he blossoms with the new offense, he might be worth it.
Unfortunately, my accounts payable research also shows that our Buffalo Sabres are going to be very much in the red after they eventually sign RFA’s Andrej Sekera, Jhonas Enroth, and Marc-Andre Gragnani. There is simply no way to fit all these guys in.
We’ve got the money – finally we’ve got the money – but the miserly NHL won’t let us spend it.
The good news: if the last 10+ years have taught Darcy Regier anything, it has taught him how to dump players. Whether through trade, through AHL ceremonial burial, or through a “strange accident in the fancy new weight room,” he’ll find a way to put an audit-worthy squad of NHLers on the ice come October 7th.
"Ales ran into a cabinet."
The vast majority of Sabres fans on the Twitter are still not convinced that we have enough guys in Blue and Gold yet – primarily, we need to add a bona fide or at least better #1 center. That could work out nicely. Unless the trade partner wants prospects and picks, we could ship out some larger salaried and quality NHLers for a nice return.
As for Boyes, well, we’ll see what fate brings him, and the other Cap offenders – Pominville (5.3), Shaone Morrisonn (2.075), and Ales Kotalik (3). And dare we include Vanek (7.142) or Miller (6.25)? Nope. Those guys are safe. For now.
Well, good luck Darcy. Oh, and if you need an alibi, hit the “contact us” button at the top of the screen here.
Show me a Sabres fan who’s not thrilled with the moves the Sabres have made defensively and I’ll show you the most negative grumpy bastard in the world. You have to love what the Sabres have done to bolster the D. The offense, however, is a bit more of a question mark.
Yes, we got Ville Leino, the Finnish Finisher (ok, so he needs a better nickname, shoot me), and well, that’s it so far. Please don’t say we also got Kotalik. Many fans are rightfully a bit sad the Sabres didn’t land Brad Richards, a clear cut #1 center rather then the question mark of a center that Leino is.
While I would have loved it if the Sabres signed Richards, I believe in Regier, Ruff and Pegula. If they think Leino can play center on the 2nd line, I believe ’em. But the overall perception seems to be that the Sabres need to make another move to bolster the offense. I’m going to say they don’t need to.
Let’s look at last year: the Sabres were 9th in the league in scoring with 245 goals, just 17 goals behind league-leading Vancouver. Those 245 goals were also good enough for 4th in the Eastern Conference. What assets did we lose that would have contributed many goals? Why should we worry that we’ll slip very much?
Sure, we lost Connolly who has never had more than 18 goals. Last year he pitched in with 13 goals and 29 assists, a mark that Leino should be able to surpass.
We “lost” Niedermayer who we could have absolutely counted on to not score a goal most of the year and then score 5 at the very end of the season. Let’s say we might have gotten 5 goals and 14 assists (his 2010-2011 totals) out of him again next year.
Then there’s Mike Grier, who has never been a real goal scorer and has been slowing down with age. Of course, it’s possible the Sabres re-sign him, but assuming they don’t, he had 5 goals and 11 assists last year. Sure, he’s a great grinder and a guy you want on your team during the clutch, but he ain’t getting any younger.
Defensively there are still a couple of question marks. I love Sekera’s potential but it looks like he may be the odd man out. But that’s really ok, because for all his offensive flashiness (at times) he only had 3 goals last year. In fact he’s never had more than 4 in a year for the Sabres.
I’m hoping the Sabres sign Gragnani because it looked like he really matured down the stretch and in the playoffs but we don’t have enough sample size to go on. But scoring-wise we don’t lose much even if we do lose Gragnani – the defense is just so vastly improved. Ehrhoff’s production alone should cover for losing MAG AND Sekera.
So really, that’s about 26 goals worth of production we could potentially lose from last year. Not a whole lot, and not much that can’t be made up elsewhere.
Granted, every single team in the league gets better every year, so it’s not enough just to tread water. The Sabres need to keep up with the Joneses and improve offensively just to stay at #9 overall.
But then again the Sabres don’t NEED to improve or even stay at 9th overall in scoring. Their much-improved defense should be enough to get them into the playoffs and make a run. Slipping a little bit in the the scoring department wouldn’t hurt that much.
On offense, the Sabres (like the Goonies) are good enough. Pegula realizes that not only do you need a good team to win an NHL championship, you also need a good bit of luck, whether that’s staying healthy or getting some breaks and pucks bouncing your way in crucial moments. It’s sort of like my theory of playing in a dynasty fantasy football league: EVERY year is a year to go for it all. There should never be a rebuilding year. Assemble the best team possible, get in the playoffs and you never know what can happen.
Now, Pegula & Co. probably aren’t done working their mojo, and they’ll likely pull off a trade. But even if they stay pat from this point forward, they’ll be just fine.
That said … please go out and get us another center. Pretty please?